Gunnar HelmFITTED MODEL

TE · TEN · NFL

7.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

5.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	vs NO	1.1	1	1
2025 wk 16	vs KC	2.9	9	2
2025 wk 15	@ SF	14.9	49	4
2025 wk 14	@ CLE	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 13	vs JAX	8.3	23	6
2025 wk 12	vs SEA	11.1	51	6
2025 wk 11	vs HOU	6.9	29	4
2025 wk 9	vs LAC	2.5	15	1
2025 wk 8	@ IND	10.3	23	2
2025 wk 7	vs NE	7.6	36	4
2025 wk 6	@ LV	3.5	15	2
2025 wk 5	@ ARI	7.4	34	4
2025 wk 4	@ HOU	2.2	12	1
2025 wk 3	vs IND	5.7	27	3
2025 wk 2	vs LAR	2.9	9	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts