Jaxon Smith-NjigbaFITTED MODEL

WR · SEA · NFL

18.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

14%

Boom (1.5x)

22%

Bust (0.6x)

21.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ SF	14.4	0	84	6
2025 wk 17	@ CAR	16.2	0	72	9
2025 wk 16	vs LAR	23.6	0	96	8
2025 wk 15	vs IND	18.3	0	113	7
2025 wk 14	@ ATL	28.1	-1	92	7
2025 wk 13	vs MIN	4.3	0	23	2
2025 wk 12	@ TEN	37.1	4	167	8
2025 wk 11	@ LAR	20.6	11	105	9
2025 wk 10	vs ARI	20.3	0	93	5
2025 wk 9	@ WAS	22.0	11	129	8
2025 wk 7	vs HOU	26.3	0	123	8
2025 wk 6	@ JAX	30.2	0	162	8
2025 wk 5	vs TB	27.2	0	132	8
2025 wk 4	@ ARI	13.0	11	79	4
2025 wk 3	vs NO	20.6	0	96	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts