Jabari Smith Jr.FITTED MODEL

F · HOU · NBA

31.4

Projection

16.4

Floor (p10)

46.9

Ceiling (p90)

10%

Boom (1.5x)

14%

Bust (0.6x)

31.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs IND	44.0	21	10	2	3
2025-12-28	vs CLE	32.2	15	7	2	3
2025-12-26	@ LAL	31.8	16	7	0	2
2025-12-24	@ LAC	20.8	16	1	1	4
2025-12-22	@ SAC	33.2	18	5	2	4
2025-12-20	@ DEN	41.5	22	10	2	5
2025-12-19	@ NO	30.0	12	12	2	1
2025-12-16	@ DEN	39.0	16	10	4	4
2025-12-12	vs LAC	39.0	18	10	4	2
2025-12-07	@ DAL	41.0	22	8	3	2
2025-12-06	vs PHX	21.0	16	2	2	1
2025-12-04	vs SAC	29.0	14	8	1	0
2025-12-02	@ UTAH	25.2	12	7	1	1
2025-11-30	@ UTAH	24.5	15	2	3	2
2025-11-27	@ GS	26.0	15	4	2	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts