Brian ThomasFITTED MODEL

WR · JAX · NFL

10.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

10.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs TEN	7.9	0	49	3
2025 wk 17	@ IND	7.9	0	39	4
2025 wk 16	@ DEN	3.8	0	18	2
2025 wk 15	vs NYJ	17.1	5	66	4
2025 wk 14	vs IND	11.7	0	87	3
2025 wk 13	@ TEN	4.8	0	28	2
2025 wk 9	@ LV	8.5	0	55	3
2025 wk 7	vs LAR	6.1	0	31	3
2025 wk 6	vs SEA	23.0	0	90	8
2025 wk 5	vs KC	12.0	0	80	4
2025 wk 4	@ SF	10.6	7	49	5
2025 wk 3	vs HOU	7.5	0	55	2
2025 wk 2	@ CIN	8.9	0	49	4
2025 wk 1	vs CAR	9.0	9	11	1
2024 wk 18	@ IND	17.3	0	103	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts