Aidan O'ConnellFITTED MODEL

QB · LV · NFL

4.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

33%

Boom (1.5x)

52%

Bust (0.6x)

11.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs KC	4.8	102	7
2024 wk 18	vs LAC	15.9	214	13
2024 wk 17	@ NO	17.6	242	-1
2024 wk 16	vs JAX	11.5	257	12
2024 wk 14	@ TB	6.8	104	6
2024 wk 13	@ KC	19.6	340	0
2024 wk 7	@ LAR	2.1	52	0
2024 wk 6	vs PIT	11.1	227	0
2024 wk 5	@ DEN	1.8	94	0
2024 wk 3	vs CAR	7.3	82	0
2023 wk 18	vs DEN	17.9	244	1
2023 wk 17	@ IND	20.3	299	3
2023 wk 16	@ KC	2.1	62	-4
2023 wk 15	vs LAC	25.9	248	0
2023 wk 14	vs MIN	5.0	171	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts