Trevor LawrenceFITTED MODEL

QB · JAX · NFL

16.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

14%

Boom (1.5x)

20%

Bust (0.6x)

20.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs TEN	23.3	255	11
2025 wk 17	@ IND	23.1	263	26
2025 wk 16	@ DEN	31.2	279	20
2025 wk 15	vs NYJ	44.3	330	51
2025 wk 14	vs IND	19.4	244	16
2025 wk 13	@ TEN	21.7	229	25
2025 wk 12	@ ARI	17.1	256	29
2025 wk 11	vs LAC	15.0	153	9
2025 wk 10	@ HOU	9.8	158	35
2025 wk 9	@ LV	21.2	220	24
2025 wk 7	vs LAR	17.6	296	18
2025 wk 6	vs SEA	19.2	258	9
2025 wk 5	vs KC	26.2	221	54
2025 wk 4	@ SF	11.7	174	7
2025 wk 3	vs HOU	7.8	222	9

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts