Josh ReynoldsFITTED MODEL

WR · · NFL

7.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

4.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 7	vs CAR	5.9	29	3
2025 wk 6	vs DEN	5.5	25	3
2025 wk 5	vs DAL	7.9	29	3
2025 wk 4	@ MIA	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 1	vs PIT	3.8	18	2
2024 wk 18	@ IND	2.1	11	1
2024 wk 16	@ LV	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 15	vs NYJ	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 5	vs LV	7.9	9	1
2024 wk 4	@ NYJ	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 3	@ TB	5.6	36	2
2024 wk 2	vs PIT	13.3	93	4
2024 wk 1	@ SEA	9.5	45	5
2023 wk 18	vs MIN	9.4	44	5
2023 wk 17	@ DAL	2.3	13	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts