T.J. HockensonFITTED MODEL

TE · MIN · NFL

9.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

7.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	@ NYG	1.2	2	1
2025 wk 15	@ DAL	10.6	66	4
2025 wk 14	vs WAS	9.2	12	2
2025 wk 13	@ SEA	11.9	59	6
2025 wk 12	@ GB	5.9	19	4
2025 wk 11	vs CHI	6.9	39	3
2025 wk 10	vs BAL	2.8	8	2
2025 wk 9	@ DET	9.1	11	2
2025 wk 8	@ LAC	4.6	26	2
2025 wk 7	vs PHI	10.3	43	6
2025 wk 5	@ CLE	9.8	38	6
2025 wk 4	@ PIT	7.9	39	4
2025 wk 3	vs CIN	15.9	49	5
2025 wk 2	vs ATL	2.2	12	1
2025 wk 1	@ CHI	4.5	15	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts