Josh JacobsFITTED MODEL

RB · GB · NFL

16.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

16%

Boom (1.5x)

23%

Bust (0.6x)

15.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	vs BAL	1.3	3	0	1
2025 wk 16	@ CHI	4.8	36	12	2
2025 wk 15	@ DEN	23.2	73	19	2
2025 wk 14	vs CHI	17.2	86	6	2
2025 wk 13	@ DET	10.1	83	8	1
2025 wk 11	@ NYG	4.0	40	0	0
2025 wk 10	vs PHI	19.7	74	33	5
2025 wk 9	vs CAR	20.0	87	13	4
2025 wk 8	@ PIT	13.5	33	12	3
2025 wk 7	@ ARI	18.8	55	3	1
2025 wk 6	vs CIN	32.0	93	57	5
2025 wk 4	@ DAL	31.7	86	71	4
2025 wk 3	@ CLE	12.4	30	44	5
2025 wk 2	vs WAS	14.4	84	0	0
2025 wk 1	vs DET	14.0	66	4	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts