Pelle LarssonFITTED MODEL

G · MIA · NBA

21.5

Projection

8.8

Floor (p10)

35.0

Ceiling (p90)

15%

Boom (1.5x)

21%

Bust (0.6x)

19.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs DEN	6.0	3	2	0	1
2025-12-28	vs IND	34.0	16	4	7	1
2025-12-27	@ ATL	39.5	21	6	5	3
2025-12-09	@ ORL	5.5	2	2	1	0
2025-12-06	@ ORL	2.8	0	1	1	0
2025-12-04	@ DAL	8.5	4	0	3	0
2025-12-02	vs LAC	9.8	5	1	2	1
2025-11-30	vs DET	13.8	7	1	2	1
2025-11-27	vs MIL	20.2	8	3	3	2
2025-11-25	vs DAL	26.5	9	2	6	1
2025-11-23	@ PHI	27.8	6	7	8	0
2025-11-22	@ CHI	34.0	16	2	7	2
2025-11-20	vs GS	21.2	10	3	4	1
2025-11-18	vs NY	27.8	13	7	4	2
2025-11-15	@ NY	22.0	14	2	2	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts