Andrew NembhardFITTED MODEL

G · IND · NBA

33.5

Projection

19.6

Floor (p10)

48.0

Ceiling (p90)

Boom (1.5x)

11%

Bust (0.6x)

32.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-31	vs ORL	35.5	19	4	7	1
2025-12-30	@ HOU	21.8	11	1	2	2
2025-12-28	@ MIA	43.2	15	3	16	1
2025-12-27	vs BOS	38.5	18	4	8	4
2025-12-24	vs MIL	27.2	14	3	6	0
2025-12-23	@ BOS	32.0	20	2	7	2
2025-12-21	@ NO	18.2	7	3	5	1
2025-12-19	vs NY	41.2	31	1	4	4
2025-12-14	vs WSH	19.0	7	2	6	1
2025-12-13	@ PHI	36.2	18	5	7	1
2025-12-09	vs SAC	56.0	28	4	12	2
2025-12-06	@ CHI	33.0	15	2	7	1
2025-12-04	vs DEN	32.8	16	3	7	2
2025-12-02	vs CLE	35.0	21	4	6	2
2025-11-30	vs CHI	23.8	14	1	6	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts