Moses BrownFITTED MODEL

C · DEN · NBA

10.8

Projection

1.0

Floor (p10)

24.0

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

11.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST
2025-10-18	@ OKC	4.8	1	3	0
2025-10-05	vs MIN	11.8	8	3	0
2024-12-04	@ TOR	-0.5	0	0	0
2024-12-01	@ MEM	0.0	0	0	0
2024-11-30	vs DET	2.2	0	1	0
2024-11-28	vs POR	3.2	2	1	0
2024-11-26	vs NO	9.0	6	2	0
2024-11-24	vs WSH	22.0	15	4	0
2024-11-23	@ MIL	1.2	0	1	0
2024-11-21	@ HOU	11.0	6	4	0
2025-03-02	vs MIL	29.2	18	9	0
2025-02-28	vs CHA	45.2	20	11	0
2025-02-23	@ GS	14.2	7	7	0
2025-02-22	vs NO	13.0	2	4	2
2023-12-30	vs SA	5.0	0	4	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts