Chet HolmgrenFITTED MODEL

C · OKC · NBA

34.7

Projection

20.0

Floor (p10)

48.8

Ceiling (p90)

Boom (1.5x)

11%

Bust (0.6x)

34.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs ATL	42.2	24	9	2	2
2025-12-28	vs PHI	47.8	29	9	1	2
2025-12-25	vs SA	31.0	10	12	2	0
2025-12-24	@ SA	14.8	7	3	1	1
2025-12-20	@ MIN	24.2	14	5	0	0
2025-12-19	vs LAC	36.8	22	7	2	3
2025-12-14	vs SA	27.8	17	7	0	1
2025-12-11	vs PHX	45.0	24	8	2	4
2025-12-08	@ UTAH	42.8	25	9	1	1
2025-12-06	vs DAL	29.0	15	8	1	1
2025-12-03	@ GS	37.0	21	8	3	2
2025-11-30	@ POR	38.8	19	9	1	0
2025-11-29	vs PHX	35.5	23	8	1	2
2025-11-27	vs MIN	30.8	12	9	2	2
2025-11-24	vs POR	26.8	5	9	4	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts