dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Noemie Brochant assists

Noemie Brochant: assistsFITTED MODEL

F · PHX · WNBA · baseline 2.0/game (2026, 20 games)
1.9
Median
0.0-4.0
80% range
0.9-3.0
50% range
5.0
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.01.94.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+65%
2.0+45%
3.0+23%
4.0+10%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 219 F assists games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Noemie Brochant player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts