dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Emma Cechova rebounds

Emma Cechova: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · MIN · WNBA · baseline 4.2/game (2026, 4 games)
3.9
Median
1.0-8.2
80% range
2.0-5.9
50% range
9.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.03.98.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+76%
4.0+49%
6.0+24%
8.0+11%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 658 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Emma Cechova player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts