dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Olivia Miles rebounds

Olivia Miles: reboundsFITTED MODEL

Name: Olivia Miles rebounds outcome distribution
Creator: dfsforge

G · MIN · WNBA · baseline 4.8/game (2026, 20 games)

4.6

Median

1.8-8.1

80% range

3.1-6.1

50% range

9.4

Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

rebounds	Probability
2.0+	89%
3.0+	77%
4.0+	63%
5.0+	44%
6.0+	27%
7.0+	17%

Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 499 G rebounds games, our 80% range covered 77.8% of actual outcomes (target 80%).

Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.

More: Olivia Miles player page · all WNBA forecasts

Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts