dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Kiki Rice assists

Kiki Rice: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · TOR · WNBA · baseline 2.5/game (2026, 11 games)
2.5
Median
0.0-5.5
80% range
1.1-3.7
50% range
6.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.02.55.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+77%
2.0+57%
3.0+37%
4.0+20%
5.0+13%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 731 G assists games, our 80% range covered 77.1% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Kiki Rice player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts