dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Emma Meesseman rebounds

Emma Meesseman: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · NY · WNBA · baseline 5.2/game (2025, 20 games)
4.8
Median
1.5-9.4
80% range
3.0-7.1
50% range
10.2
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.54.89.4
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+86%
4.0+60%
6.0+36%
8.0+18%
10.0+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 279 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 83.2% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Emma Meesseman player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts