dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Emma Meesseman assists

Emma Meesseman: assistsFITTED MODEL

C · NY · WNBA · baseline 3.0/game (2025, 20 games)
3.0
Median
0.7-5.3
80% range
1.7-4.3
50% range
5.7
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.73.05.3
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+86%
2.0+70%
3.0+51%
4.0+30%
5.0+13%
6.0+2%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 94 C assists games, our 80% range covered 79.8% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Emma Meesseman player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts