dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Luisa Geiselsoder rebounds

Luisa Geiselsoder: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · POR · WNBA · baseline 3.1/game (2026, 18 games)
2.4
Median
0.0-7.0
80% range
1.0-4.7
50% range
8.9
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.02.47.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+58%
4.0+32%
6.0+15%
8.0+7%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 279 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 83.2% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Luisa Geiselsoder player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts