dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Leonie Fiebich points

Leonie Fiebich: pointsFITTED MODEL

F · NY · WNBA · baseline 9.2/game (2026, 14 games)
8.4
Median
2.8-17.0
80% range
5.0-12.4
50% range
19.2
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

2.88.417.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
4.0+81%
6.0+69%
8.0+54%
10.0+39%
12.0+27%
14.0+18%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 454 F points games, our 80% range covered 78.2% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Leonie Fiebich player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts