dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Angel Reese rebounds

Angel Reese: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · ATL · WNBA · baseline 11.3/game (2026, 21 games)
11.0
Median
7.0-15.8
80% range
8.9-13.6
50% range
17.4
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

7.011.015.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
6.0+94%
8.0+83%
10.0+63%
12.0+39%
14.0+21%
16.0+9%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 658 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Angel Reese player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts