dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Caitlin Clark assists

Caitlin Clark: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · IND · WNBA · baseline 7.9/game (2026, 18 games)
7.8
Median
4.8-11.5
80% range
6.1-9.6
50% range
12.6
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

4.87.811.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
2.0+99%
4.0+95%
6.0+77%
8.0+46%
10.0+21%
12.0+7%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 731 G assists games, our 80% range covered 77.1% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Caitlin Clark player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts