dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Sami Whitcomb points

Sami Whitcomb: pointsFITTED MODEL

G · PHX · WNBA · baseline 8.2/game (2025, 56 games)
7.2
Median
1.5-16.0
80% range
4.0-11.8
50% range
18.7
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.57.216.0
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
5.0+69%
10.0+34%
15.0+13%
20.0+3%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 709 G points games, our 80% range covered 77.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Sami Whitcomb player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts