dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Kelsey Plum assists

Kelsey Plum: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · LA · WNBA · baseline 6.2/game (2026, 13 games)
6.1
Median
3.1-9.8
80% range
4.4-7.8
50% range
10.9
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.16.19.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
2.0+96%
4.0+80%
6.0+51%
8.0+24%
10.0+9%
12.0+2%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 731 G assists games, our 80% range covered 77.1% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Kelsey Plum player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts