dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Naz Hillmon rebounds

Naz Hillmon: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · ATL · WNBA · baseline 4.6/game (2026, 20 games)
4.3
Median
1.3-8.5
80% range
2.4-6.3
50% range
9.8
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.34.38.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+80%
4.0+54%
6.0+28%
8.0+13%
10.0+5%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 658 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Naz Hillmon player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts