dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Sophie Cunningham points

Sophie Cunningham: pointsFITTED MODEL

G · IND · WNBA · baseline 9.5/game (2026, 19 games)
9.1
Median
1.8-17.3
80% range
5.0-13.4
50% range
20.1
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.89.117.3
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
5.0+75%
10.0+45%
15.0+18%
20.0+5%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 709 G points games, our 80% range covered 77.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Sophie Cunningham player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts