dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Nyara Sabally points

Nyara Sabally: pointsFITTED MODEL

F · TOR · WNBA · baseline 11.7/game (2026, 13 games)
11.5
Median
4.2-19.6
80% range
7.1-15.6
50% range
21.8
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

4.211.519.6
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
5.0+87%
10.0+59%
15.0+28%
20.0+9%
25.0+1%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 454 F points games, our 80% range covered 78.2% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Nyara Sabally player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts