dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Aliyah Boston rebounds

Aliyah Boston: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · IND · WNBA · baseline 8.2/game (2026, 19 games)
8.0
Median
3.7-12.2
80% range
5.7-10.8
50% range
13.7
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.78.012.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+97%
4.0+88%
6.0+72%
8.0+50%
10.0+32%
12.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 279 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 83.2% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Aliyah Boston player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts