dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Elizabeth Williams rebounds

Elizabeth Williams: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · CHI · WNBA · baseline 4.1/game (2026, 19 games)
3.5
Median
0.3-8.3
80% range
1.7-6.1
50% range
9.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.33.58.3
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+72%
4.0+45%
6.0+26%
8.0+12%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 279 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 83.2% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Elizabeth Williams player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts