dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Courtney Williams points

Courtney Williams: pointsFITTED MODEL

G · MIN · WNBA · baseline 15/game (2026, 20 games)
14
Median
7-24
80% range
10-19
50% range
29
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

71424
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pointsProbability
5+94%
10+76%
15+47%
20+22%
25+9%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 709 G points games, our 80% range covered 77.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Courtney Williams player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts