dfsforge / WNBA forecasts / Courtney Williams assists

Courtney Williams: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · MIN · WNBA · baseline 4.2/game (2026, 20 games)
4.0
Median
1.2-7.4
80% range
2.4-5.6
50% range
8.7
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.24.07.4
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+93%
2.0+81%
3.0+64%
4.0+49%
5.0+32%
6.0+20%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 731 G assists games, our 80% range covered 77.1% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Courtney Williams player page · all WNBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts