dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Dyami Brown targets

Dyami Brown: targetsFITTED MODEL

WR · WAS · NFL · baseline 3.4/game (2025, 11 games)
3.0
Median
0.6-6.5
80% range
1.6-4.8
50% range
7.9
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.63.06.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

targetsProbability
1.0+85%
2.0+68%
3.0+51%
4.0+33%
5.0+23%
6.0+14%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 1739 WR targets games, our 80% range covered 81.1% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Dyami Brown player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts