dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Kevin Porter Jr. assists

Kevin Porter Jr.: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · MIL · NBA · baseline 7.1/game (2026, 42 games)
6.9
Median
3.3-11.1
80% range
5.0-9.0
50% range
12.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.36.911.1
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
2.0+97%
4.0+85%
6.0+63%
8.0+36%
10.0+17%
12.0+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 9094 G assists games, our 80% range covered 80.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Kevin Porter Jr. player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts