dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Quinten Post rebounds

Quinten Post: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · GS · NBA · baseline 4.0/game (2026, 72 games)
3.4
Median
0.6-8.3
80% range
1.7-5.7
50% range
9.8
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.63.48.3
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+70%
4.0+42%
6.0+23%
8.0+11%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Quinten Post player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts