dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Jarrett Allen rebounds

Jarrett Allen: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · CLE · NBA · baseline 8.1/game (2026, 77 games)
7.6
Median
3.7-12.8
80% range
5.5-10.4
50% range
14.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.77.612.8
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+98%
4.0+88%
6.0+70%
8.0+46%
10.0+28%
12.0+14%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Jarrett Allen player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts