dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Tyrese Haliburton assists

Tyrese Haliburton: assistsFITTED MODEL

G · IND · NBA · baseline 8.9/game (2025, 99 games)
8.7
Median
5.2-12.9
80% range
6.8-10.8
50% range
14.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

5.28.712.9
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
4.0+96%
6.0+83%
8.0+60%
10.0+34%
12.0+15%
14.0+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 9094 G assists games, our 80% range covered 80.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Tyrese Haliburton player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts