dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Victor Wembanyama rebounds

Victor Wembanyama: reboundsFITTED MODEL

F · SA · NBA · baseline 11.0/game (2026, 93 games)
10.7
Median
6.8-15.5
80% range
8.7-13.2
50% range
17.0
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

6.810.715.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
6.0+95%
8.0+81%
10.0+60%
12.0+36%
14.0+18%
16.0+8%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 7752 F rebounds games, our 80% range covered 80.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Victor Wembanyama player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts