dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Bam Adebayo rebounds

Bam Adebayo: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · MIA · NBA · baseline 9.7/game (2026, 78 games)
9.6
Median
4.9-14.6
80% range
6.9-12.2
50% range
16.2
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

4.99.614.6
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
4.0+94%
6.0+82%
8.0+65%
10.0+45%
12.0+26%
14.0+13%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Bam Adebayo player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts