dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Mitchell Robinson rebounds

Mitchell Robinson: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · NY · NBA · baseline 8.2/game (2026, 82 games)
7.7
Median
3.8-12.9
80% range
5.6-10.4
50% range
14.6
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.87.712.9
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
2.0+99%
4.0+89%
6.0+71%
8.0+47%
10.0+29%
12.0+14%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Mitchell Robinson player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts