dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Julius Randle assists

Julius Randle: assistsFITTED MODEL

F · MIN · NBA · baseline 4.7/game (2026, 94 games)
4.4
Median
1.9-7.9
80% range
2.9-6.2
50% range
9.0
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.94.47.9
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
2.0+89%
3.0+72%
4.0+58%
5.0+40%
6.0+27%
7.0+17%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4060 F assists games, our 80% range covered 79.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Julius Randle player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts