dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Neemias Queta rebounds

Neemias Queta: reboundsFITTED MODEL

C · BOS · NBA · baseline 8.3/game (2026, 86 games)
8.2
Median
3.5-13.2
80% range
5.5-10.8
50% range
14.8
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

3.58.213.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

reboundsProbability
4.0+87%
6.0+71%
8.0+52%
10.0+32%
12.0+16%
14.0+7%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4136 C rebounds games, our 80% range covered 81.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Neemias Queta player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts