dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Jonathan Kuminga assists

Jonathan Kuminga: assistsFITTED MODEL

F · ATL · NBA · baseline 2.3/game (2026, 46 games)
2.1
Median
0.3-4.3
80% range
1.1-3.2
50% range
5.3
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.32.14.3
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+81%
2.0+52%
3.0+31%
4.0+13%
5.0+6%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4060 F assists games, our 80% range covered 79.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Jonathan Kuminga player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts