dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Myles Turner three-pointers

Myles Turner: three-pointersFITTED MODEL

C · MIL · NBA · baseline 2.1/game (2026, 74 games)
1.6
Median
0.4-4.1
80% range
1.1-2.9
50% range
4.6
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.41.64.1
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

three-pointersProbability
1.0+77%
2.0+44%
3.0+23%
4.0+11%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 1272 C three-pointers games, our 80% range covered 80.5% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Myles Turner player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts