dfsforge / NBA forecasts / Kyle Anderson assists

Kyle Anderson: assistsFITTED MODEL

F · MIN · NBA · baseline 2.8/game (2026, 53 games)
2.6
Median
0.5-5.5
80% range
1.4-4.1
50% range
6.6
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.52.65.5
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

assistsProbability
1.0+81%
2.0+61%
3.0+41%
4.0+26%
5.0+15%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 4060 F assists games, our 80% range covered 79.0% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2026 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Kyle Anderson player page · all NBA forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts