DFSFORGE
Get started
NFL · Week 4 · Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2026
LIVE — picks not yet locked. This list reflects the model's current output and may change before the games run.

NFL Week 4 Sleeper Picks
Underowned plays the model loves.

The dfsforge sleeper engine scores every player on a six-factor composite: volume trend, ADP mispricing, matchup, game environment, health, and momentum. Below are the picks for Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season, broken down by position.

25
sleepers identified
100.0
top composite
95.2
avg composite
4/4
positions covered
QB

Top QB sleepers

01
Carson Wentz
MIN
QB
95.9
composite
projection 75.8
volume trend1.00
underrated vs ADP1.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.53
  • projects above ADP
02
Tyrod Taylor
GB
QB
95.9
composite
projection 63.0
volume trend1.00
underrated vs ADP0.95
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.17
  • projects above ADP
03
Taylen Green
CLE
QB
95.9
composite
projection 57.6
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP0.93
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum—
  • projects above ADP
  • ownership rising fast
04
Davis Mills
HOU
QB
95.9
composite
projection 49.8
volume trend1.00
underrated vs ADP0.88
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum1.00
  • projects above ADP
  • trending up recently
05
Jake Browning
TB
QB
95.9
composite
projection 45.3
volume trend1.00
underrated vs ADP0.84
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.00
  • projects above ADP
  • opportunity +-0.2pp recent
RB

Top RB sleepers

01
Christian McCaffrey
SF
RB
57.5
composite
projection 396.1
volume trend0.48
underrated vs ADP0.05
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.23
  • no notable factors fired this week
02
Bijan Robinson
ATL
RB
57.5
composite
projection 362.9
volume trend1.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum1.00
  • opportunity +10.2pp recent
  • trending up recently
03
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET
RB
57.5
composite
projection 359.0
volume trend1.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.00
  • opportunity +3.2pp recent
04
Jonathan Taylor
IND
RB
57.5
composite
projection 350.5
volume trend0.71
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.00
  • opportunity +3.6pp recent
05
De'Von Achane
MIA
RB
57.5
composite
projection 346.3
volume trend0.54
underrated vs ADP0.03
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.17
  • opportunity +-2.5pp recent
WR

Top WR sleepers

01
Puka Nacua
LAR
WR
86.8
composite
projection 356.9
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.01
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum1.00
  • trending up recently
02
Davante Adams
LAR
WR
86.8
composite
projection 246.8
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.04
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.27
  • no notable factors fired this week
03
Chris Olave
NO
WR
86.8
composite
projection 244.7
volume trend1.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health0.70
momentum1.00
  • opportunity +6.7pp recent
  • trending up recently
  • injury risk
04
Tee Higgins
CIN
WR
86.8
composite
projection 218.2
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.77
  • trending up recently
05
Stefon Diggs
WR
86.8
composite
projection 217.1
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.20
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.34
  • no notable factors fired this week
TE

Top TE sleepers

01
Oronde Gadsden
LAC
TE
98.6
composite
projection 150.6
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.00
  • no notable factors fired this week
02
David Njoku
LAC
TE
98.6
composite
projection 102.2
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.00
  • no notable factors fired this week
03
Kylen Granson
TEN
TE
98.6
composite
projection 11.1
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.00
  • no notable factors fired this week
04
Hayden Hurst
TE
98.6
composite
projection 5.9
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.00
  • no notable factors fired this week
05
Gerald Everett
TE
98.6
composite
projection 4.4
volume trend0.00
underrated vs ADP0.00
matchup—
game environment—
health1.00
momentum0.00
  • no notable factors fired this week
K

Top K sleepers

No model coverage for kickers yet.
DEF

Top DEF sleepers

No model coverage for team defenses yet.
methodology

Every score is a weighted composite of seven measurable signals. We do not hide rankings behind opinion -- if you disagree with a pick, the factor bars tell you which inputs drove it. See the full algorithm on the methodology section or the live sleeper finder for an interactive version that updates as projections, injuries, and Vegas lines move during the week.