Jaroslav ChmelarFITTED MODEL

W · NYR · NHL

3.5

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

10.7

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

54%

Bust (0.6x)

3.4

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-17	vs VAN	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-14	vs MTL	1.3	0	0	0	-
2025-12-11	@ CHI	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-08	vs VGK	5.6	0	0	2	-
2025-11-09	vs NYI	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-11-08	@ DET	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-04-15	@ TB	2.8	0	0	1	-
2026-04-13	@ FLA	2.6	0	0	0	-
2026-04-11	@ DAL	4.3	0	0	2	-
2026-04-08	vs BUF	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-04-05	vs WSH	7.8	0	1	1	-
2026-04-04	vs DET	10.0	1	0	1	-
2026-04-02	vs MTL	1.5	0	0	1	-
2026-03-31	vs NJ	13.0	1	0	3	-
2026-03-29	vs FLA	0.0	0	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts