David TomasekFITTED MODEL

W · EDM · NHL

4.2

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

11.3

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

51%

Bust (0.6x)

3.4

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	SOG	SV
2025-12-14	@ TOR	5.8	0	3	-
2025-12-12	vs DET	4.5	0	3	-
2025-12-10	vs BUF	1.3	0	0	-
2025-12-07	vs WPG	10.0	1	1	-
2025-11-26	vs DAL	1.3	0	0	-
2025-11-23	@ FLA	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-21	@ TB	1.5	0	1	-
2025-11-20	@ WSH	11.5	1	2	-
2025-11-14	@ CBJ	1.3	0	0	-
2025-11-09	vs COL	1.3	0	0	-
2025-11-05	@ DAL	1.5	0	1	-
2025-10-31	vs NYR	0.0	0	0	-
2025-10-29	vs UTA	3.0	0	2	-
2025-10-27	@ VAN	1.5	0	1	-
2025-10-26	@ SEA	6.0	0	4	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts