Zach MetsaFITTED MODEL

D · BUF · NHL

2.9

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

8.6

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

52%

Bust (0.6x)

1.7

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	SOG	SV
2025-12-30	@ STL	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-28	vs BOS	1.3	0	0	-
2025-12-24	@ OTT	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-22	@ NJ	2.8	0	1	-
2025-12-20	vs NYI	1.5	0	1	-
2025-10-25	@ TOR	0.0	0	0	-
2025-10-24	vs TOR	0.0	0	0	-
2025-10-22	vs DET	2.8	0	1	-
2025-10-20	@ MTL	1.3	0	0	-
2025-10-03	@ PIT	1.5	0	1	-
2026-05-18	vs MTL	0.0	0	0	-
2026-05-17	@ MTL	11.3	1	1	-
2026-04-15	vs DAL	1.3	0	0	-
2026-04-09	vs CBJ	0.0	0	0	-
2026-04-04	@ WSH	1.3	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts