Matthew WoodFITTED MODEL

W · NSH · NHL

5.7

Projection

0.6

Floor (p10)

13.3

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

47%

Bust (0.6x)

3.8

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ VGK	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-30	@ UTA	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-28	@ STL	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-24	@ MIN	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-22	vs NYR	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-21	vs TOR	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-18	vs CAR	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-16	@ STL	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-14	@ COL	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-12	vs STL	10.0	0	2	0	-
2025-12-10	vs COL	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-07	@ CAR	12.8	1	0	2	-
2025-12-05	@ FLA	7.3	0	0	4	-
2025-12-03	vs CGY	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-11-30	vs WPG	0.0	0	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts